Impact of Climate Change on Tree Vegetation Cover and Adaptation Strategies for Conservation, Bara Locality, North Kordofan
[1]
Awad Elkarim Suliman Osman Khalifa, Department of Gum Arabic Research, Institute of Gum Arabic Research and Desertification, University of Kordofan, Elobied, Sudan.
[2]
Salwa Siddig Mohamed Elmahadi, Department of Desertification Studies and Environment, Institute of Gum Arabic Research and Desertification, University of Kordofan, Elobied, Sudan.
[3]
Mohamed Eltom Elhaja, Department of Desertification Studies and Environment, Institute of Gum Arabic Research and Desertification, University of Kordofan, Elobied, Sudan.
[4]
Elmar Csaplovics, Institute of Photogrammetric & Remote Sensing, Technical University of Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
[5]
Elamin Sanjak, Department of Forest Management, Faculty of Forestry, University of Khartoum, Shambat, Sudan.
The research was conducted in Bara locality; North Kordofan to study the Impact of climate change on tree vegetation cover and adaptation strategies adopted by local community for conservation. Moreover, the research is intended to investigate the indicators of climate change in study area, study the role of changing house pattern and alternative energy sources in the conservation of tree vegetation cover, and detrimental factors for adoption of adaptation strategies among local community. The primary data was collected through direct interview with local people, group discussions with key informants, observations and metrological station of Bara locality. A random sample of 63 respondents was selected from three villages in Bara Locality. The secondary data were collected from the project reports and relevant studies. The data was analyzed using descriptive statistics, t-test and binary logistic regression. The results showed a general trend of decreasing amount of rainfall (R² = 0.094) and general trend of increasing degrees of temperature (R² = 0.76) according to the analysis of metrological data for the last 10 years. The impact of climate change on tree biodiversity showed retrogression succession where dominant trees lost their dominance for less preferred tree species, particularly A. senegal as indicated by 83.3% of the respondents. T-test analysis for the last ten years indicated a significant decline of areas covered by A. senegal, stocking density at (p>0.05). The changing house pattern (muddy buildings) has significant positive role in conserving tree vegetation cover at (p>0.05) in the study area. Also, the study showed that, the alternative sources of energy has significant positive role in conserving tree vegetation cover at (p>0.05) in the study area. The logistic regression model revealed that the extension services, gender, and water availability are the main significant factors determining the household choice and adoption of adaptation strategies at (p>0.05). The main conclusion drawn from this study is the fact that climate change is recognized as a real challenge for the sustainable livelihood of local communities in the study area. The study recommended that intervention of the different governmental and non governmental institutions to enhance the locally driven adaption options of local communities.
Climate Change, Vegetation Cover, Adaptation Strategies, Conservation
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