Welcome to Open Science
Contact Us
Home Books Journals Submission Open Science Join Us News
Shared-Bicycle Modeling and Forecasting in the University Town of Xinxiang City
Current Issue
Volume 5, 2018
Issue 6 (December)
Pages: 64-69   |   Vol. 5, No. 6, December 2018   |   Follow on         
Paper in PDF Downloads: 25   Since Jan. 17, 2019 Views: 979   Since Jan. 17, 2019
Authors
[1]
Xu Mengli, School of Biomedical Engineering, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China; School of Biomedical Engineering, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[2]
Wu Yang, School of Biomedical Engineering, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China; Xinxiang neural Sensing and Control Engineering Research Center, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[3]
Wang Yidong, School of Biomedical Engineering, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China; Xinxiang neural Sensing and Control Engineering Research Center, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[4]
Zhang Chenqing, Xinxiang neural Sensing and Control Engineering Research Center, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[5]
Ren Wu, Xinxiang neural Sensing and Control Engineering Research Center, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[6]
Yan Huijuan, School of Pharmacy, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
[7]
Ren Qiongqiong, Xinxiang neural Sensing and Control Engineering Research Center, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, China.
Abstract
There are a large number of young people in the university town of Xinxiang City, and the shared bicycles are just starting. In order to adjust the type and quantity of bicycles, to avoid the imbalance of supply and demand of shared bicycles, and the imperfect pattern, the modelling and analysis of the shared bicycles in the university town were conducted. Firstly, the demand for shared bicycles was calculated according to the total population and bus stations. Secondly, using the time of bicycle use and the number of users as variables, a GM (1, 1) model was established using the grey forecasting method to predict the future users of Youon and Mobike; Finally, Based on the evaluation factors of shared bicycles, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is established to evaluate the comprehensive competitiveness of existing shared bicycles and imported shared bicycles. The results show that the comprehensive competition index of Mobike and ofo in the university town of Xinxiang City are 0.8705 and 0.7955, which have certain development advantages. It verifies the rationality of introducing ofo bicycle into university town. The number of ofo introduced is about 1,000, and Mobike is about 1,000. The obtained data can provide methods and data support for the bicycle-sharing optimization problems in Xinxiang City and other cities.
Keywords
Shared Bicycles, Mathematical Modeling, Grey Prediction, Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
Reference
[1]
Zhai Shuqin, China Bicycle-Sharing to the world [J]. Ecological Economy, 2017, 33 (11): 10-13.
[2]
Song Shuning. Research on the Legal Supervision of Shared Bicycle [J]. Henan Social Sciences, 2017, 25 (07): 67-70.
[3]
Pelechrinis K, Li B, Qian S. Bike Sharing and Car Trips in the City: The Case of Healthy Ride Pittsburgh [J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing. 2016, 10 (17): 1-17.
[4]
Pelechrinis K, Kokkodis M, Lappas T. On the value of shared bike systems in urban environments: Evidence from the real estate market [J]. Ssrn Electronic Journal. 2015, 9 (20):24-33.
[5]
Liang X. et al. Recycling scheduling of urban damaged shared bicycles based on improved genetic algorithm [J]. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications. 2008, 25 (07): 1-14.
[6]
Fu C and Guo Q. Road traffic injuries in shared bicycle riders in China [J]. The Lancet Public Health. 2018, 3 (03):111-112.
[7]
Nair R and Elise MH. Equilibrium network design of shared-vehicle systems [J]. European Journal of Operational Research. 2014, 235 (01): 47-61.
[8]
Marion, D. Spatial issues revisited: The role of shared transportation modes [J]. Transport Policy. 2016, 20 (08):1-30.
[9]
Campbell AA, Cherry CR, Ryerson MS. et al. Factors influencing the choice of shared bicycles and shared electric bikes in Beijing [J]. ransportation Research Part C. 2016, 88 (67): 399-414.
[10]
Caulfield B, Mahony MO, Brazil W. et al. Examining usage patterns of a bike-sharing scheme in a medium size city [J]. Transportation Research PartA, 2017, 89 (100): 152-161.
[11]
Cui Lizhi, Grey Prediction Model of Highway Traffic Accidents [J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2012, 12 (19): 4843-4846.
[12]
Jiang Rifan, Zhang Xianku, Grey prediction-based concise robust control of ship course-keeping [J]. Journal of Dalian Polytechnic University, 2018, 37 (01): 63-66.
[13]
Liu Xia, Li Yuanhui, Chen Lei, et al. Prediction for Air Route Passenger Flow Based on Grey Prediction Model [J]. Computer Systems and Applications, 2017, 26 (07): 221−226.
[14]
Zhang Shanyu, Cheng Shengyu, Grey Prediction of Flood Disasters [J]. Hydrology, 2000, 20 (02): 23-25.
[15]
Yu Shengwei. MATLAB mathematical modeling classic case actual combat [M]. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2014.
Open Science Scholarly Journals
Open Science is a peer-reviewed platform, the journals of which cover a wide range of academic disciplines and serve the world's research and scholarly communities. Upon acceptance, Open Science Journals will be immediately and permanently free for everyone to read and download.
CONTACT US
Office Address:
228 Park Ave., S#45956, New York, NY 10003
Phone: +(001)(347)535 0661
E-mail:
LET'S GET IN TOUCH
Name
E-mail
Subject
Message
SEND MASSAGE
Copyright © 2013-, Open Science Publishers - All Rights Reserved