A Potential Correlation Between the Temperature of the Pacific Ocean and Data from Google Trends May Yield a Warning Sign for the Outbreak of Zika
[1]
Raúl Isea, Institute of Advanced Studies – IDEA, Hoyo de la Puerta, Baruta, Venezuela.
There has been a large number of reported cases of the occurrence of Zika in different countries in 2016 and it is necessary to develop an early warning system to initiate preventive campaigns against the disease. A potential early warning system based on the rise in ocean temperature of the Pacific Niño Index is proposed. The efficacy is verified using data for the outbreak in Colombia as obtained from Google Trends.
Epidemic, Zika, Temperature, Google, Warning, Colombia
[1]
Dick GW, Kitchen SF, Haddow AJ (1952) Zika virus. I. Isolations and serologicalspecificity. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1952; 46: 509-520.
[2]
Alfonso J Rodríguez-Morales. Zika: the new arbovirus threat for Latin America. J Infect Dev Ctries 2015; 9(6): 684-685.
[3]
Gupta, Ritu; Tiwari, Rishi; Mueen, Ammed K. K. Argentina's dengue-fever outbreak reaches capital. Nature 2009; 458 (7240), 819.
[4]
Isea R, Mayo-García R, and Lonngren, K. E. A potential correlation between dengue and the temperature of the Pacific Ocean yielding an additional warning sign. Environmental Science: An Indian Journal 2012, 7 (11): 395-396.
[5]
Campbell LP, Luther C, Moo-Llanes D, Ramsey JM, Danis-Lozano R, Peterson AT. Climate change influences on global distributions of dengue and chikungunya virus vectors. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 2015; 370: 20140135.
[6]
Rosà R, Marini G, Bolzoni L, Neteler M, Metz M, Delucchi L, et al. Early warning of West Nile virus mosquito vector: climate and land use models successfully explain phenology and abundance of Culex pipiens mosquitoes in north-western Italy. Parasit Vectors. 2014; 12 (7): 269.
[7]
Gong H, DeGaetano AT, Harrington LC. Climate-based models for West Nile Culex mosquito vectors in the Northeastern US. Int J Biometeorol. 2011; 55 (3): 435–446.
[8]
Hafez, Y. Study on the Relationship between the Oceanic Nino Index and Surface Air Temperature and Precipitation Rate over the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection. 2016; 4: 146-162.
[9]
Pelat C, Boëlle PY, Cowling BJ, Carrat F, Flahault A, Ansart S, Valleron AJ. Online detection and quantification of epidemics. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2007; 15 (7): 29.
[10]
Myers JL, Well AD. Research Design and Statistical Analysis (2nd ed.). Lawrence Erlbaum. 2003; p. 508. ISBN 0-8058-4037-0.
