Association Between Cases of Acute Flaccid Paralysis and Wild Polio Virus in Polio Endemic Countries
[1]
Reuben Benham Zangaluka, Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Modibbo Adama University of Technology, Yola, Adamawa State, Nigeria.
[2]
Abubakar Sulaiman Abubakar, World Health Organization, North West Zonal Office, Kano State, Nigeria.
[3]
John Kumur Haganawiga, Department of Statistics, Adamawa State Polytechnic, Yola, Adamawa State, Nigeria.
[4]
James Afrifa, Department of Computer Science, Adamawa State Polytechnic, Yola, Adamawa State, Nigeria.
The primary objective of acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) is to detect, investigate, report, disseminate and promptly implement control measure. The surveillance database of AFP case count of children under the age of 15 reported from 1998 to 2014 was sourced from the Global Polio Eradication Initiative surveillance - AFP case count database. A regression analysis was conducted to study the relationship between AFP and Wild Polio Virus (WPV) of the 3 endemic countries thus: Nigeria, Pakistan and Afghanistan. The relationship between AFP and WPV in Nigeria, Pakistan and Afghanistan, stands at 5%, 18% and 32% respectively. Given the weakness in the relationship between AFP and WPV in the three polio endemic countries, it could be affirmed that factors other than AFP could be more responsible for the determination of WPV cases.
Poliomyelitis, Infectious, Surveillance, Eradication, Regression
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