Welcome to Open Science
Contact Us
Home Books Journals Submission Open Science Join Us News
The Practical Forecasting Aspects of the thermohydrogravidynamic theory of the Global Seismotectonic Activity of the Earth concerning to the Japanese Earthquakes Near the Tokyo Region
Current Issue
Volume 1, 2014
Issue 2 (May)
Pages: 38-61   |   Vol. 1, No. 2, May 2014   |   Follow on         
Paper in PDF Downloads: 23   Since Aug. 28, 2015 Views: 2128   Since Aug. 28, 2015
Authors
[1]
Sergey V. Simonenko , V.I. Il’ichev Pacific Oceanological Institute, Far Eastern Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Vladivostok, Russia.
Abstract
The article presents the development of the cosmic geophysics (representing the deterministic thermohydrogravidynamic theory intended for earthquakes prediction) by founding the fundamental global seismotectonic and volcanic periodicities based on the author’s generalized differential formulation of the first law of thermodynamics taking into account the energy gravitational influences on the Earth of the Sun (owing to the gravitational interaction of the Sun with the Jupiter and Saturn), the Moon, the Mercury, the Venus, the Mars and the Jupiter. The author presents the evidence that the dates (1605 AD, 1703 AD, 1855 AD, 1923 AD and 2011 AD) of previous strong Japanese earthquakes (near the Tokyo region) may be satisfactory decomposed (relative to the initial date 818 AD of the previous strong earthquake near the Tokyo region) into a linear sums (with different coefficients having the possible values 1 or 0 and the small residual terms) of the established fundamental global seismotectonic and volcanic periodicities.
Keywords
Cosmic Geophysics, Thermohydrogravidynamic Theory, Generalized Differential Formulation of the First Law of Thermodynamics, Seismicity Near Tokyo Region, Earthquakes Prediction
Reference
[1]
Davison Сh. Great Earthquakes, London, UK: Thomas Murby Co., 1936.
[2]
Richter CF. Elementary Seismology, San Francisco, USA: W.H. Freeman, 1958.
[3]
Shamsi S, Stacey FD. Dislocation models and seismomagnetic calculation for California 1906 and Alaska 1964 earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 1969 ; 59 ( 4) : 1435–1448.
[4]
Verhoogen J, Turner FJ, Weiss LE et al., The Earth. An Introduction to Physical Geology, New York, USA: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1970.
[5]
Hattory S. Migration and periodicity of seismic activity in the world. Bulletin of the International Institute of Seismology. 1977 ; 15 : 33-47.
[6]
Abramov VA. Forecasting of disastrous earthquakes. Proceedings of the Vladivostok Professor’s Club. 1997 ; (1) : 64–77. In Russian.
[7]
Dolgikh GI. The Investigations of the Wave Fields of the Ocean and Lithosphere by Laser-interference Methods, A.V. Alekseev Ed. Vladivostok, Russia: Dalnauka, 2000. In Russian.
[8]
Vikulin AV. Physics of Wave Seismic Process, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, A. V. Nikolaev, Ed. Russia: the Kamchatsky State Pedagogical University Press, 2003. In Russian.
[9]
Sagiya T. Integrate all available data. Nature. 2011 ; 473 : 146-147.
[10]
Yagi Y. Enhance ocean – floor observation. Nature. 2011 ; 473 : 147-148.
[11]
Chao BF, Gross RS. Changes in the Earth’s rotation and low-degree gravitational field induced by earthquakes. Geophysical Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society. 1987 ; 91 (3) ; 569-596.
[12]
Console R, Yamaoka K, Zhuang J. Implementation of short- and medium-term earthquake forecasts. International Journal of Geophysics. 2012 ; vol. 2012, article ID 217923, 2 pages, 2012, doi:10.1155/2012/217923.
[13]
Sgrigna V, Conti L. A deterministic approach to earthquake prediction. International Journal of Geophysics. 2012 ; vol. 2012, article ID 406278, 20 pages, 2012, doi:10.1155/2012/406278.
[14]
Simonenko SV. Thermohydrogravidynamics of the Solar System, G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili, Ed. Nakhodka, Russia: Institute of Technology and Business Press, 2007.
[15]
Simonenko SV. Fundamentals of the Thermohydrogravidynamic Theory of Cosmic Genesis of the Planetary Cataclysms, G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili, Ed. Nakhodka, Russia: Institute of Technology and Business Press, 2009.
[16]
Simonenko SV. Fundamentals of the Thermohydrogravidynamic Theory of Cosmic Genesis of the Planetary Cataclysms, 2nd ed., G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili Ed. Nakhodka, Russia: Institute of Technology and Business Press, 2010.
[17]
Tinivella U, Giustiniani M, Cassiani G. Geophysical Methods for Environmental Studies. International Journal of Geophysics. 2013 ; vol. 2013, Article ID 950353, 2 pages, 2013. Available: http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/950353
[18]
Simonenko SV. Fundamentals of the thermohydrogravidynamic theory of the global seismotectonic activity of the Earth. International Journal of Geophysics. 2013 ; vol. 2013, Article ID 519829, 39 pages, 2013. Available: http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/519829
[19]
Chao BF, Gross RS. Changes in the Earth’s rotational energy induced by earthquakes. Geophysical Journal International. 1995 ; 122 (3) : 776-783.
[20]
Chao BF, Gross RS, Dong D.-N. Changes in global gravitational energy induced by earthquakes. Geophysical Journal International. 1995 ; 122 (3) : 784-789.
[21]
Simonenko SV. Statistical thermohydrodynamics of irreversible strike-slip-rotational processes. In Rotational Processes in Geology and Physics. pp. 225–251, E. E. Milanovsky Ed. Moscow, Russia: KomKniga, 2007. In Russian.
[22]
Gibbs JW. Graphical methods in the thermodynamics of fluids. Transactions of the Connecticut Academy. 1873 ; 2 : 309–342.
[23]
Fedotov SA. Regularities of the distribution of strong earthquakes in Kamchatka, the Kuril Islands, and northeastern Japan. Trudy Institut Fiziki Zemli. Akademii Nauk SSSR. 1965 ; 36 (203) : 63–93. In Russian.
[24]
Christensen DH, Ruff LJ. Rupture process of the March 3, 1985 Chilean earthquake. Geophysical Research Letters. 1986 ; 13 (8) : 721–724.
[25]
Barrientos SE, Kausel E. Genesis y proceso de rupture del terremoto del 3 demarzo de 1985. Revista de Geofisica. 1990 ; 46 (1) : 3–18.
[26]
Jacob KH. Estimates of long-term probabilities for future great earthquakes in the Aleutians. Geophysical Research Letters. 1984 ; 11 (4) : 295–298.
[27]
Shimazaki K, Nakata T. Time-predictable recurrence model for large earthquakes. Geophysical Research Letters. 1980 ; 7 (4) : 279–282.
[28]
Suyehiro S. Earthquake prediction efforts in Japan. In Atti della Conferenza Internazionale Zone Seismiche dell’Area Mediterranea, Matera, Italy, 16–18 November 1981, pp. 41–44, Potenza, Italy, 1984.
[29]
Clark RH, Dibble RR, Fyfe HE, Lensen GJ, Suggarte RP. Tectonic and earthquake risk zoning. Transactions of the Royal Socciety of New Zealand. 1965; 1 (10) : 113–126.
[30]
Johnston AR. Earthquake fault Line hazards with special reference to Wellington. New Zealand Engineering. 1965; 20 (8) : 320–322.
[31]
Tamrazyan GP. About periodicity of seismic activity during the last one and half-two thousand years (as an example for Armenia). Izvestiya Akademii Nauk SSSR, Fizika Zeml. 1962 ; (1) : 76–85. In Russian.
[32]
Ambraseys NN. Some characteristic features of the Anatolian fault zone. Tectonophysics. 1970 ; 9 (2–3) : 143–165.
[33]
Vikulin AV. Seismicity and the Earth’s rotation. Computing Technologies. 1992 ; 1 (3) : 124–130. In Russian.
[34]
Vikulin AV. On the nature of Australian earthquakes. Volcanology and Seismology. 1994 : (2) : 99–108. In Russian.
[35]
Kyrillov IV. On the periodicity of destructive earthquakes at the Caucasus and in Turkey. Dokladi Akademii Nauk SSSR. 1957 : 115 (4) : 771–773. In Russian.
[36]
Zhu Y, Zhan FB. Medium-term earthquake forecast using gravity monitoring data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan earthquakes in China. International Journal of Geophysics. 2012 (2012) ; article ID 307517, 6 pages, doi:10.1155/2012/307517
[37]
Zubkov SI. Catalogue of Earthquakes’ Precursors. Gravitational Precursors. Moscow, Russia, 1988. In Russian.
[38]
Zhan FB, Zhu Y, Ning J, Zhou J, Liang W, Xu Y. Gravity changes before large earthquakes in China: 1998–2005. Geo-Spatial Information Science. 2011 ; 14 (1) : 1–9.
[39]
Simonenko SV. The Cosmic Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Increase of the Seismic and Volcanic Activity of the Earth in the Beginning of the 21st Century AD. G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili Ed. Nakhodka, Russia: Institute of Technology and Business Press, 2012.
[40]
Simonenko SV. Fundamentals of the thermohydrogravidynamic theory of the global seismotectonic, volcanic and climatic variability of the Earth. In Abstracts of the 2nd Russia-China Symposium on Marine Science: Marine Environmental and Resources in 21st Century, pp. 165-166, Vladivostok, Russia: FEB RAS, October 2012.
[41]
Kalugin I, Darin A. High resolution geochemical signal of paleoclimate in the bottom sediments based on scanning x-ray fluorescence analysis on synchrotron radiation (XRF SR). In Abstracts of the 2nd Russia-China Symposium on Marine Science: Marine Environmental and Resources in 21st Century, p. 70, Vladivostok, Russia: FEB RAS, October 2012.
[42]
Goncharova A, Gorbarenko S. Shi X, et al. Millennial – centennial – interdecadal scale climate and environmental changes of the Japan Sea sediments over the last 60 thousand years: investigation based on wavelet analysis. In Abstracts of the 2nd Russia-China Symposium on Marine Science: Marine Environmental and Resources in 21st Century, pp. 53-54, Vladivostok, Russia: FEB RAS, October 2012.
[43]
Mori J. Design buildings for greater shakes. Nature. 2011 ; 473 : 148.
[44]
Kerr RA. Seismic crystal ball proving mostly cloudy around the world. Science. 2011 332 : 912–913.
[45]
Jackson A. A new turn for Earth’s rotation. Nature. 2010 ; 465 : 39–40.
[46]
Thordarson T, Larsen G. Volcanism in Iceland in historical time: Volcano types, eruption styles and eruptive history. Journal of Geodynamics. 2007 ; 43 : 118–152.
[47]
Vikulin AV. The World of the Vortical Motions. G.F. Mayorova Ed. Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia: the Kamchatsky State Technical University Press, 2008.
[48]
Stein RS, Toda S. Megacity megaquakes – two near misses. Science. 2013 ; 341 : 850–852.
[49]
De Groot SR, Mazur P. Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics, Amsterdam, Holland: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1962.
[50]
Gyarmati I. Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics. Field Theory and Variational Principles, Germany, Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1970.
[51]
Landau LD, Lifshitz EM. Theoretical Physics. Vol. 5. Statistical Physics, V.D. Kozlov Ed. Moscow, Russia: Nauka, 1976. In Russian.
[52]
Simonenko SV. The macroscopic non-equilibrium kinetic energies of a small fluid particle. Journal of Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics. 2004 ; 29 (2) : 107–123.
[53]
Simonenko SV. Non-equilibrium Statistical Thermohydrodynamics of Turbulence, G. I. Dolgikh Ed., Moscow, Russia: Nauka, 2006.
[54]
Matuzawa T. On the possibility of gravitational waves in soil and allied problems. Japanese Journal Astronomy and Geophysics. 1925 ; 3 : 161–177.
[55]
Lomnitz C, Castanos H. Earthquake hazard in the valley of Mexico: entropy, structure, complexity. In Earthquake Source Asymmetry, Structural Media and Rotation Effects, pp. 347–364, New York, USA: Springer, 2006.
[56]
Lomnitz C. Some observations of gravity waves in the 1960 Chile earthquake. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 1970 ; 59 (2) 669–670.
[57]
Lomnitz C. Mexico 1985: the case for gravity waves. Geophysical Journal International. 1990 ; 102 (3) : 569–572.
[58]
Vikulin AV. Geodynamics and gravitation (cosmic factors). In Proceedings of the 3rd Tectonophysic Conference on Thectonophysics and Pressing Questions of the Earth’s Sciences, vol. 1, pp. 57-61, Moscow, Russia: UIPE, RAS, 2012. In Russian.
[59]
Vikulin AV. Geodynamics and gravitation. In Proceedings of the All-Russian Conference and of Youth School on Modern Geodynamics: Modern Geodynamics of Central Asia and Dangerous Natural Processes: The Results of Investigation Obtained on the Quantitative Basis, pp. 26-28, Irkutsk, Russia: IEC, SB RAS, 2012. In Russian.
[60]
Vikulin AV. Seismicity, Volcanism and Geodynamics. The Selected Works, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia: the Kamchatsky State University Press, 2011. In Russian.
[61]
Landau LD, Lifshitz EM. Theoretical Physics. Vol. 6. Hydrodynamics, Yu. G. Rudoy Ed. Moscow, Russia: Nauka, 1988. In Russian.
[62]
Dolgikh GI, Kuptsov AV, Larionov IA, et al. Deformation and acoustic precursors of earthquakes. Doklady Earth Sciences. 2007 ; 413 (1) : 96–100. In Russian.
[63]
Alfven H, Arrhenius G. Evolution of the Solar System, Moscow, Russia: Mir, 1979. In Russian.
[64]
Cartlidge E. Aftershocks in the courtroom. Science. 2012 ; 338 : 184–188.
[65]
Chandler С. On the variation of the latitude. Astron. Journal. 1892 ; 11 (12) : 97–107.
[66]
Tishkin BM. Conformity and process of rotational-translational movement of structures. In Rotational Processes in Geology and Physics, pp. 297–317, E. E. Milanovsky Ed. Moscow, Russia: KomKniga, 2007. In Russian.
[67]
Cassius Dio Cocceianus. Dio's Roman history. 9 vols., vol. 3. Engl. tr. by Earnest Cary. Available: http://www.archive.org/details/diosromanhistory03cassuoft
Open Science Scholarly Journals
Open Science is a peer-reviewed platform, the journals of which cover a wide range of academic disciplines and serve the world's research and scholarly communities. Upon acceptance, Open Science Journals will be immediately and permanently free for everyone to read and download.
CONTACT US
Office Address:
228 Park Ave., S#45956, New York, NY 10003
Phone: +(001)(347)535 0661
E-mail:
LET'S GET IN TOUCH
Name
E-mail
Subject
Message
SEND MASSAGE
Copyright © 2013-, Open Science Publishers - All Rights Reserved