Effects of Interest Rate on Housing Prices in Lagos Metropolis
[1]
Olanipekun T. Alaba, Internal Quality Assurance (IQA) Unit, Yaba College of Technology, Yaba, Nigeria.
[2]
O. J. Adegoke, Department of Estate Management, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria.
This paper examined the relationship that exists between lending interest rates and housing prices using Lagos metropolis as a case study. The paper employed both primary and secondary sources of data collection. The secondary source of data collection was used to gather information on lending interest rate for a period of fifteen (15) years. Information were extracted from Central Intelligent Agency (CIA) world fact book while questionnaire was used as primary method of data collection from registered Estate Surveying Firm (ESF) located in Lagos state. The formula developed by the Research Division of the National Education Association of the Minnesota and Texas University, United State of America (S=X2 NP (-P) +d5 (N-1) +X2P (1-P)) and cited by Ojo (2005) was adopted in order to determine the sample size. Thus, One Hundred and sixty five (165) firms were sampled but 50 percent questionnaires were returned. The simple random sampling technique was used to select the simple size and descriptive and inferential statistics were used to analysis data collected. There was a progressive reduction in the percentage increase of housing prices from a low class of housing type to a high class of housing type. Although the general price level of housing price was on the increasing side. However, between a period of 15 fifteen years there is a decrease in lending interest rate by 4.27%. The trend of lending interest rate was on the down slide. Factually all the factors under consideration affect housing prices in the study area. However the impact of Location is of great importance. There exist a significant correlation between the housing price (two bedroom flats, three bedroom flats, semi detached houses and detached Houses) and the lending interest rate. These correlations were fairly strong negative relationship. The paper recommended that the state government should re-strategizes in there development pattern so as to bring about a health competition in different part of the state. The financial institution should further reduce the lending interest rate especially to those involved in real estate sector and effort should be gear toward monitoring such loan. The paper concluded that it is evidence that there exist a significant relationship between the housing price of all types and the lending interest rate.
Interest Rate, Lending Interest Rate and Housing Prices
[1]
Barakova, I., Bostic, R. W., Calem, P. S. and Wachter S. M. 2003), Does credit quality for Homerownership? Journal of housing economics. 12(4), 318-336.
[2]
Chen, M. and Patel, K. (1998), House price dynamics and granger causality. An analysis of Taipei new dwelling market. Journal of Asain Real Estate Society. 1(1).
[3]
Debelle, G. (2004), Household debt and the macroeconomy. BIS quarterly review.
[4]
Glaeser, E. L., Gyourko J., and Saks R. (2005), Why have housing prices gone up?
[5]
The National Bureau of Economic research. NBER working paper series (nber.org).
[6]
Guo, M and Wu, Q. (2013), The empirical analysis of affecting factors of Shanghai housing prices. International journal of business and social science 4(14). 218-223
[7]
Gupta, R. and Kabundi, A. (2010), The effect of monetary policy on house price inflation. A factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach. Journal of economic studies, 37(6).616-626
[8]
Haron, N. A. and Liew C. (2013), Factors influencing the rise of house price in Klang Valley International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology 2 (10) 261-272.
[9]
He, L., Hu, C. and Casey, K. (2009), Prediction of Variability in mortgage rates: interval computing solutions. The Journal of Risk Finance. 10, (2).
[10]
Hii, W.H., Latif, I., and Nasir, A. (1999), Lead-lag relationship between housing and gross domestic product in Sarawak, paper presented at the international Real Estate society conference 26th - 30th July.
[11]
Joe, W., Eddie, H. and Seabrook W. (2003), The impact of interest rates upon housing prices: an empirical study of Hong Kong’s market. Journal of property management. 21 (2).
[12]
Lee, C. L. (2009), Housing prices volatility and its determinants. International journal of Housing markets and Analysis 2(3).
[13]
McGibany, J. and Nourzad, F. (2004), Do lower mortgage rates means higher housing prices? Applied Economics 36(4)
[14]
Messah O. B and kigige A. M (2011), Factors influencing real estate property prices a survey of real esates in Meru Muncipality, Kenya. Journal of Economics and sustainable development 2(4) 34-53.
[15]
Michele, D. (2012), How to set your selling price.Retrived 15th January 2015, from Realtor.com http://www.realtor.com/home-financial/real-estate/sellers/setting-price-for-selling-home.aspx?source=web.
[16]
NIESV (2014), The Nigerian institution of estate surveyors and valuers directory of members and registered firms.
[17]
Ojo (2005) Fundamentals of research methods, Nelson Clemmy press standard publication, Mushin.
[18]
Oyebanji, A. O, Akintoye A. and Liyanage C. L. (2013), Barriers to sustainable social housing provision. School of Built and Natural Environment, University of Central Lancashire, UK.
[19]
Painter, G. and Redfearn, C. L. (2001), The role of interest rates in influencing long-run homeownership rates. University of Southern California, center for real estate.
[20]
Tsatsaronis, K. and Zhu, H. (2004), What drives housing price dynamics: cross-country evidence? BIS quarterly review
[21]
Tze, S. O. (2013), Factors affecting the prices of housing in Malaysia. Journal of emerging issues in economics, finance and banking 1 (5), 414-429
[22]
Vries, P. and Boelhouwer, P. (2005), Local house price developments and housing supply. Property management 23 (2), 80-96.
[23]
Warsame, A., Wilhemsson, M., and Borg, L. (2010), The effect of subsidy on housing construction in various regions of sweden. Journal of European real Estate Research 3 (3), 228-244.
[24]
Wheeler, M. and Chowdhury, A. R. (1993), The housing market, macroeconomic activity and financial innovation: an empirical analysis of US data. Journal of applied economics 25(11), 1385-1392.